Updated bowl projections from around the web – October 26

Every Monday we publish bowl projections from experts across the web.  We provide analysis of the expert projections, and we’ll offer a bowl projection of our own that may seem crazy at first, but we’ll provide the rationale behind it and explain how it can happen.  The rules that we’ll follow are that none of the experts have picked  these teams to appear in this game.  Hopefully we’ll surprise you not only with the pick, but how it falls into place as the season goes on (we invite you to check our picks from the last few years).  Each week, we’ll list our earlier picks, and after the bowls are over, we’ll review our projections.  In our analysis this week, we’ll touch on whether or not there are too many bowl  games.  Here are the expert picks, notes, our crazy bowl pick and analysis.

Royal Purple Las Vegas Bowl      

  • Jerry Palm – BYU vs. California
  • Jason Kirk – Boise State vs. Washington State
  • Mark Schlabach – BYU vs. Washington State
  • Brett McMurphy – Boise State vs. Arizona State

New Orleans Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Southern Miss vs. UL-Lafayette
  • Jason Kirk – Appalachian State vs. Louisiana Tech
  • Mark Schlabach – Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Tech
  • Brett McMurphy – Southern Miss vs. UL-Lafayette

New Mexico Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Rice vs. Boise State
  • Jason Kirk – Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico
  • Mark Schlabach – Rice vs. Colorado State
  • Brett McMurphy – Rice vs. New Mexico

Camellia Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Toledo vs. Georgia Southern
  • Jason Kirk – Western Michigan vs. Arkansas State
  • Mark Schlabach – Western Michigan vs. South Alabama
  • Brett McMurphy – Ohio vs. Georgia Southern

AutoNation Cure Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Miami (FL) vs. Arkansas State
  • Jason Kirk – East Carolina vs. South Alabama
  • Mark Schlabach – Tulsa vs. Georgia Southern
  • Brett McMurphy – Tulsa vs. Arkansas State

Miami Beach Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Temple vs. Marshall
  • Jason Kirk – Cincinnati vs. Marshall
  • Mark Schlabach – Houston vs. Western Kentucky
  • Brett McMurphy – FIU vs. USF

Boca Raton Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Washington vs. Western Michigan
  • Jason Kirk – Temple vs. Northern Illinois
  • Mark Schlabach – East Carolina vs. Ohio
  • Brett McMurphy – Cincinnati vs. Bowling Green

Idaho Potato Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Akron vs. Nevada
  • Jason Kirk – Bowling Green vs. Colorado State
  • Mark Schlabach – Central Michigan vs. Utah State
  • Brett McMurphy – Western Michigan vs. Utah State

 GoDaddy.com Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Northern Illinois vs. Appalachian State
  • Jason Kirk – Toledo vs. Georgia Southern
  • Mark Schlabach – Toledo vs. Appalachian State
  • Brett McMurphy – Toledo vs. Appalachian State

Poinsettia Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Utah State vs. Ohio
  • Jason Kirk – San Diego State vs. Kansas State
  • Mark Schlabach – San Diego State vs. Northern Illinois
  • Brett McMurphy – San Diego State vs. Washington

Hawai’i Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – East Carolina vs. Colorado  State
  • Jason Kirk – San Jose State vs. BYU
  • Mark Schlabach – Temple vs. Boise State
  • Brett McMurphy – Temple vs. BYU

Bahamas Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Middle Tennessee vs. Bowling Green
  • Jason Kirk – Old Dominion vs. Ohio
  • Mark Schlabach – Bowling Green vs. Marshall
  • Brett McMurphy – Louisiana Tech vs. Northern Illinois

Foster Farms Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Illinois vs. UCLA
  • Jason Kirk – Minnesota vs. Arizona State
  • Mark Schlabach – Illinois vs. USC
  • Brett McMurphy – Northwestern vs. Oregon

Independence Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Texas State vs. Virginia Tech
  • Jason Kirk – Akron vs. Louisiana-Lafayette
  • Mark Schlabach – Middle Tennessee vs. Georgia Tech
  • Brett McMurphy – UTEP vs. Louisville

Pinstripe Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Duke vs. Nebraska
  • Jason Kirk – Pitt vs. Nebraska
  • Mark Schlabach – Pitt vs. Minnesota
  • Brett McMurphy – Duke vs. Wisconsin

Heart of Dallas Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Oregon vs. Western Kentucky
  • Jason Kirk – Texas Tech vs. Western Kentucky
  • Mark Schlabach – Kansas State vs. Southern Miss
  • Brett McMurphy – Kansas State vs.  Western Kentucky

Sun Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Louisville vs. Washington State
  • Jason Kirk – Louisville vs. California
  • Mark Schlabach – North Carolina vs. California
  • Brett McMurphy – Pitt vs. Washington  State

St. Petersburg Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Memphis vs. Old Dominion
  • Jason Kirk – Buffalo vs. Southern Mississippi
  • Mark Schlabach – South Florida vs. FIU
  • Brett McMurphy – Marshall vs. Houston

Quick Lane Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Georgia Tech vs. Buffalo
  • Jason Kirk – N.C. State vs. Central Michigan
  • Mark Schlabach – Miami (FL) vs. Indiana
  • Brett McMurphy – Miami (FL) vs. Illinois

Military Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Pitt vs. Navy
  • Jason Kirk – Boston College vs. Navy
  • Mark Schlabach – N.C. State vs. Navy
  • Brett McMurphy – Georgia Tech vs. Navy

Texas Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – West Virginia vs. Kentucky
  • Jason Kirk – Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M
  • Mark Schlabach – Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M
  • Brett McMurphy – Georgia vs. West Virginia

Arizona Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Louisiana Tech vs. San Diego State
  • Jason Kirk – Rice vs. Utah State
  • Mark Schlabach – Arizona vs. San Jose State
  • Brett McMurphy – Middle Tennessee vs. Nevada

Armed Forces Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Minnesota vs. Air Force
  • Jason Kirk – Oregon vs. Air Force
  • Mark Schlabach – Oregon vs. Air Force
  • Brett McMurphy – Nebraska vs. Air Force

Russell Athletic Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Florida State vs. Oklahoma State
  • Jason Kirk – Florida State vs. Oklahoma
  • Mark Schlabach – Florida State vs. Oklahoma State
  • Brett McMurphy – Florida State vs. Oklahoma

Birmingham Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Cincinnati vs. Auburn
  • Jason Kirk – Memphis vs. Arkansas
  • Mark Schlabach – Cincinnati vs. Auburn
  • Brett McMurphy – East Carolina vs. Auburn

Belk Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – N.C. State vs. Ole Miss
  • Jason Kirk – Duke vs. Auburn
  • Mark Schlabach – Duke vs. Tennessee
  • Brett McMurphy – N.C. State vs. Arkansas

Music City Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Penn State vs. Mississippi State
  • Jason Kirk – North Carolina vs. Mississippi State
  • Mark Schlabach – Northwestern vs. Arkansas
  • Brett McMurphy – Minnesota vs. Tennessee

Holiday Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Wisconsin vs. Arizona State
  • Jason Kirk – Northwestern vs. UCLA
  • Mark Schlabach – Wisconsin vs. UCLA
  • Brett McMurphy – Penn State vs. USC

Peach Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Iowa vs. Houston
  • Jason Kirk – Florida vs. Michigan
  • Mark Schlabach – Florida vs. Memphis
  • Brett McMurphy – LSU vs.  Memphis

Cotton Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – TCU vs. Alabama
  • Jason Kirk – Alabama vs. Stanford
  • Mark Schlabach – Alabama vs. Ohio State
  • Brett McMurphy – Baylor vs. Stanford

Orange Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Ohio State vs. Clemson
  • Jason Kirk – Clemson vs. Ohio State
  • Mark Schlabach – Baylor vs. Clemson
  • Brett McMurphy – Clemson vs. Michigan State

Outback Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Northwestern vs. Texas A&M
  • Jason Kirk – Wisconsin vs. Georgia
  • Mark Schlabach – Penn State vs. Georgia
  • Brett McMurphy – Iowa vs. Mississippi State

Citrus Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Michigan vs. Florida
  • Jason Kirk – Iowa vs. Ole Miss
  • Mark Schlabach – Michigan vs. Ole Miss
  • Brett McMurphy – Michigan vs. Ole Miss

Fiesta Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Notre Dame vs. Utah
  • Jason Kirk – Notre Dame vs. Houston
  • Mark Schlabach – Notre Dame vs. Iowa
  • Brett McMurphy – Notre Dame vs. Florida

Rose Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Michigan State vs. Stanford
  • Jason Kirk – Michigan State vs. USC
  • Mark Schlabach – Michigan State vs. Stanford
  • Brett McMurphy – Ohio State vs. Utah

Sugar Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Baylor vs. LSU
  • Jason Kirk – Baylor vs. LSU
  • Mark Schlabach – TCU vs. LSU
  • Brett McMurphy – TCU vs. Alabama

TaxSlayer Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – North Carolina vs. Georgia
  • Jason Kirk – Penn State vs. Kentucky
  • Mark Schlabach – Louisville vs. Mississippi State
  • Brett McMurphy – North Carolina vs. Texas A&M

Liberty Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Kansas State vs. Tennessee
  • Jason Kirk – Texas vs. Tennessee
  • Mark Schlabach – Texas vs. Kentucky
  • Brett McMurphy – Texas vs.  Kentucky

Alamo Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Oklahoma vs. USC
  • Jason Kirk – TCU vs. Utah
  • Mark Schlabach – Oklahoma vs.  Utah
  • Brett McMurphy Oklahoma State vs. USC

Cactus Bowl

  • Jerry Palm – Texas vs. Arizona
  • Jason Kirk – West Virginia vs. Arizona
  • Mark Schlabach – West Virginia vs. Arizona State
  • Brett McMurphy – Texas Tech vs. Arizona

 National Championship Game       January 11

There is little consensus – Only five teams are selected to appear in the same bowl game by all four of the experts, including Clemson, Notre Dame, Florida State and Air Force and Navy.  There are 12 other schools that are picked to appear in the same game by three of the four experts.

There too many bowl games –  I don’t agree with that statement, but this season it is very possible there will not be enough bowl-eligible teams to fill the 80 slots in 40 bowl games.  There are two additional bowl games this season and while the Pac-12 and the Big 12 appear poised to have the same number of teams qualify as last season, other conferences will not.  Last season, the ACC had 11 teams become bowl-eligible and appear in the post-season.  This year, it is possible that only six teams could achieve the six wins necessary for bowl eligibility.  I do expect nine to reach that mark, still two less than last season.  In the SEC, 12 teams qualified for the post-season last year, but there will need to be some surprising upsets to have more than nine teams appear in bowl games.   In the Big Ten, the story is the similar.  There were 10 teams in the post-season last year, and right now, there seven teams that appear to be a lock for the post-season, and three others that have a solid chance to make it.   We’ll watch how this unfolds and report on the guidelines for bowl eligibility if there are not enough teams to fill all of the bowl slots.

And our first bowl projection of the season –  Both of these teams are struggling, and will need to push to get to bowl eligibility.  But both teams are athletic, have the ability to do it, and I believe will get there.

When I was a kid, the Miami Hurricanes were all that.  Even though the program it is currently going through turmoil, Miami continues to be a huge road draw. Fans want to see their team play (or beat) the Canes, and Miami has fans all around the country.   For the next generation, the Oregon Ducks are that team.  With more style than almost any other team, ranging from cool uniforms, a great mascot, and a style of play different than almost any other, the Ducks have for today’s young fans what the Canes had for their parents.  Our first bowl projection of the year is Miami (FL) vs. Oregon in the Sun Bowl.

 

 

 

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