Updated Bowl Projections – November 12, 2014

Every Monday we’ve been publishing bowl projections from experts across the web, along with a few notes and observations.  Starting today, we are going to publish and email on Wednesdays.  We are making this move because the College Football Playoff selection committee will be releasing its rankings on Tuesday nights.  We will still have three sets of projections available to our subscribers and Facebook fans on Monday, but we are going to send our email on Wednesdays.  As always, we’ll offer a bowl projection of our own that may seem crazy at first, but we’ll provide the rationale behind it, explain how it can happen.  Hopefully we’ll surprise you not with the pick, but how it falls into place as the season goes on (we invite you to check our picks from the last few years). Each week, we’ll list our earlier picks, and after the bowls are over, we’ll review our projections.  Here are the expert picks,notes, our crazy bowl pick and more.  So onto the projections!  (Click here for a list of updated conference tie-ins)

R+L Carriers New Orleans

  • Mark Schlabach – Temple  vs. Louisiana-Lafayette
  • Brett McMurphy – Michigan vs. Louisiana-Lafayette
  • Jerry Palm – Arkansas State vs. San Diego State
  • Brant Parsons – Arkansas State vs. Utah State
Gildan New Mexico Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Utah State vs. UTEP
  • Brett McMurphy – San Diego State vs. UTEP
  • Jerry Palm – Utah State vs. UTEP
  • Brant Parsons – San Diego State vs. Middle Tennessee State
Royal Purple Las Vegas

  • Mark Schlabach – Boise State vs. Stanford
  • Brett McMurphy – Colorado State vs. Washington
  • Jerry Palm – Boise State vs. Stanford
  • Brant Parsons – Boise State vs. Stanford
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Western Michigan vs. Nevada
  • Brett McMurphy – Central Michigan vs. Nevada
  • Jerry Palm – Bowling Green vs. Air Force
  • Brant Parsons – Central Michigan vs. Air Force
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Central Michigan vs. Texas State
  • Brett McMurphy – Northern Illinois vs. Texas State
  • Jerry Palm – Toledo vs. Texas State
  • Brant Parsons – Northern Illinois vs. South Alabama
Miami Beach Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – East Carolina vs. BYU
  • Brett McMurphy – UCF vs. BYU
  • Jerry Palm – East Carolina vs. BYU
  • Brant Parsons – Cincinnati vs. BYU
Boca Raton Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Middle Tennessee vs. Ohio
  • Brett McMurphy – Louisiana Tech vs. Western Michigan
  • Jerry Palm – Louisiana Tech vs. Central Michigan
  • Brant Parsons – UAB vs. Western Michigan
San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – San Diego State vs. Navy
  • Brett McMurphy – Utah State vs. Navy
  • Jerry Palm – Colorado State vs. Navy
  • Brant Parsons – Colorado State vs. Navy
Popeyes Bahamas Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Marshall vs. Northern Illinois
  • Brett McMurphy- Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo
  • Jerry Palm – Middle Tennessee vs. Western Michigan
  • Brant Parsons – UTEP vs. Bowling Green
Hawaii Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Rice vs. Air Force
  • Brett McMurphy – Rice vs. Stanford
  • Jerry Palm – UAB vs. Nevada
  • Brant Parsons – Louisiana Tech vs. Hawaii
Heart of Dallas Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Louisiana Tech vs. Rutgers
  • Brett McMurphy – Marshall vs. Illinois
  • Jerry Palm – Rutgers vs. Rice
  • Brant Parsons – Iowa vs. Rice
Quick Lane Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – North Carolina vs. Michigan
  • Brett McMurphy – Virginia Tech vs. Rutgers
  • Jerry Palm – North Carolina State vs. Temple
  • Brant Parsons – Virginia Tech vs. Michigan
BITCOIN St. Petersburg Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – UCF vs. Cal
  • Brett McMurphy – Cincinnati vs. North Carolina State
  • Jerry Palm – UCF vs. Akron
  • Brant Parsons – UCF vs. Western Kentucky
Military Bowl Presented By Northrop Grumman

  • Mark Schlabach – Cincinnati vs. North Carolina State
  • Brett McMurphy – Memphis vs. Boston College
  • Jerry Palm – Cincinnati vs. Boston College
  • Brant Parsons – Temple vs. North Carolina State
Hyundai Sun Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Miami (FL) vs. Utah
  • Brett McMurphy – Miami (FL) vs. Utah
  • Jerry Palm – Louisville vs. Utah
  • Brant Parsons – Georgia Tech vs. Arizona
Duck Commander Independence Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Virginia Tech vs. South Carolina
  • Brett McMurphy – Pittsburgh vs. Temple
  • Jerry Palm – North Carolina vs. South Alabama
  • Brant Parsons – Pittsburgh vs. Rutgers
New Era Pinstripe Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Louisville vs. Iowa
  • Brett McMurphy – Louisville vs. Penn State
  • Jerry Palm – Georgia Tech vs. Penn State
  • Brant Parsons – Boston College vs. Penn State
National University Holiday Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Maryland vs. USC
  • Brett McMurphy – Minnesota vs. USC
  • Jerry Palm – Maryland vs. UCLA
  • Brant Parsons – Wisconsin vs. UCLA
Russell Athletic Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Duke vs. Oklahoma
  • Brett McMurphy – Notre Dame vs. Oklahoma
  • Jerry Palm – Duke vs. Oklahoma
  • Brant Parsons – Duke vs. Oklahoma
AutoZone Liberty Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – West Virginia vs. Florida
  • Brett McMurphy – Oklahoma State vs. Tennessee
  • Jerry Palm – Oklahoma State vs. Tennessee
  • Brant Parsons – West Virginia vs. Texas A&M
AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Texas vs. Texas A&M
  • Brett McMurphy – West Virginia vs. Texas A&M
  • Jerry Palm – West Virginia vs. Florida
  • Brant Parsons – Houston vs. LSU
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Boston College vs. LSU
  • Brett McMurphy – Florida vs. Iowa
  • Jerry Palm – Georgia vs. Miami (FL)
  • Brant Parsons – South Carolina vs. Miami (FL)
Belk Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Georgia Tech vs. Missouri
  • Brett McMurphy – Georgia Tech vs. Missouri
  • Jerry Palm – Notre Dame vs. LSU
  • Brant Parsons – Louisville vs. Georgia
San Francisco Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Penn State vs. Arizona
  • Brett McMurphy – Maryland vs. Arizona
  • Jerry Palm – Iowa vs. USC
  • Brant Parsons – Minnesota vs. USC
Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Colorado State vs. Michigan State
  • Brett McMurphy – Ohio State vs. Ole Miss
  • Jerry Palm –Mississippi State vs. Marshall
  • Brant Parsons – Auburn vs. Marshall
Fiesta Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Arizona State vs. Ohio State
  • Brett McMurphy – Arizona State vs. Boise State
  • Jerry Palm – Arizona State vs. Nebraska
  • Brant Parsons – Arizona State vs. Ohio State
Capital One Orange Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Clemson vs. Alabama
  • Brett McMurphy – Clemson vs. Mississippi State
  • Jerry Palm – Clemson vs. Ole Miss
  • Brant Parsons – Clemson vs. Notre Dame
Outback Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Wisconsin vs. Georgia
  • Brett McMurphy – Nebraska vs. Auburn
  • Jerry Palm – Wisconsin vs. Texas A&M
  • Brant Parsons – Nebraska vs. Ole Miss
Cotton Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Baylor vs. Notre Dame
  • Brett McMurphy – Baylor vs. Michigan State
  • Jerry Palm – TCU vs. Ohio State
  • Brant Parsons – Baylor vs. Alabama
Citrus Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Nebraska vs. Ole Miss
  • Brett McMurphy – Wisconsin vs. Georgia
  • Jerry Palm – Michigan State vs. Auburn
  • Brant Parsons – Michigan State vs. Missouri
Rose Bowl Game Presented By Northwestern Mutual

  • Mark Schlabach – Florida State vs. Oregon
  • Brett McMurphy – Alabama vs. Oregon
  • Jerry Palm – Alabama vs. Oregon
  • Brant Parsons – Mississippi State vs. Oregon
Allstate Sugar Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Mississippi State vs. TCU
  • Brett McMurphy – Florida State vs. TCU
  • Jerry Palm – Florida State vs. Baylor
  • Brant Parsons – Florida State vs. TCU
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Houston vs. UAB
  • Brett McMurphy – Houston vs. UAB
  • Jerry Palm – Houston vs. Cal
  • Brant Parsons – East Carolina vs. Cal
TaxSlayer Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Auburn vs. Minnesota
  • Brett McMurphy – LSU vs. Duke
  • Jerry Palm – Missouri vs. Minnesota
  • Brant Parsons –Maryland vs. Florida
Valero Alamo Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Kansas State vs. UCLA
  • Brett McMurphy – Kansas State vs. UCLA
  • Jerry Palm – Kansas State vs. Arizona
  • Brant Parsons – Kansas State vs. Utah
Cactus Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Bowling Green vs. Washington
  • Brett McMurphy – Air Force vs. California
  • Jerry Palm – Ohio vs. Washington
  • Brant Parsons – Oklahoma State vs. Washington
Birmingham Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Memphis vs. Tennessee
  • Brett McMurphy – South Carolina vs. East Carolina
  • Jerry Palm – Memphis vs. South Carolina
  • Brant Parsons – Memphis vs. Tennessee
GoDaddy Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Toledo vs. Arkansas State
  • Brett McMurphy – Bowling Green vs. Texas State
  • Jerry Palm – Northern Illinois vs. Louisiana-Lafayette
  • Brant Parsons – Toledo vs. Louisiana-Lafayette

Our Crazy Bowl Projection – Nebraska vs. USC in the National University Holiday Bowl.

This one isn’t as crazy – when we wrote this Sunday night, each of these teams was picked to be in the game by only one of five experts.  Now there’s a  few more, and we think they’re right.  Here’s how it happens.  We believe that the Pac-12 will have two teams selected by the College Football Playoff selection committee to appear in New Year’s Six bowl games, Oregon and either Arizona State or UCLA.  The Alamo Bowl has the first selection following the playoff and selects an 11-2 ASU or a 10-2 UCLA as the Pac-12 representative.  With the next selection, the Holiday Bowl picks USC to represent the Pac-12 against the Big Ten.  For the first time ever in a bowl game, they’ll take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers.  We think for Nebraska to not be in this game, they will need to defeat Wisconsin this Saturday, win at Iowa the day after Thanksgiving, and either win or be extremely competitive in the Big Ten Championship Game.  If any of those three things doesn’t happen, they’ll be heading to San Diego.

Here are the predictions that we made earlier far this year and when we made them:

  • West Virginia vs. LSU in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl (October 13)
  • South Carolina vs. Penn State in the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl (October 20)
  • Duke vs. Notre Dame in the Capital One Orange Bowl (October 27)
  • Miami (FL) vs. Tennessee in the Belk Bowl (November 3)

 

The most interesting expert pick is Michigan to appear in the R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl.  It assumes that the Wolverines will become bowl eligible (we agree) and that a few other bowls with Big Ten tie-ins pass over the Wolverines.  It’s a bold expert pick by Brett McMurphy and one that could happen.

 

 

 

 

 

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