Updated Bowl Projections – November 3, 2014

Ohio State Trip with Louis 002Monday we publish bowl projections from experts across the web, along with a few notes and observations. We also offer a bowl projection of our own that may seem crazy at first, but we’ll provide the rationale behind it and explain how it can happen.  Hopefully we’ll surprise you not with the pick, but how it falls into place as the season goes on (we invite you to check our picks from the last few years). Each week, we’ll list our earlier picks, and after the bowls are over, we’ll review our projections.  Here are the expert picks, notes, our crazy bowl pick and more.    (Click here for a list of updated conference tie-ins)

R+L Carriers New Orleans

  • Mark Schlabach – Air Force vs. Louisiana-Lafayette
  • Brett McMurphy – Fresno State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette
  • Jerry Palm – Arkansas State vs. San Diego State
Gildan New Mexico Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Nevada vs. UTEP
  • Brett McMurphy – Utah State vs. Rice
  • Jerry Palm – Utah State vs. UTEP
Royal Purple Las Vegas

  • Mark Schlabach – Boise State vs. UCLA
  • Brett McMurphy – Colorado State vs. UCLA
  • Jerry Palm – Boise State vs. Stanford
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Western Michigan vs. Utah State
  • Brett McMurphy – Central Michigan vs. Nevada
  • Jerry Palm – Akron vs. Air Force
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Akron vs. South Alabama
  • Brett McMurphy – Bowling Green vs. Arkansas State
  • Jerry Palm – Toledo vs. Texas State
Miami Beach Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Cincinnati vs. BYU
  • Brett McMurphy – Cincinnati vs. BYU
  • Jerry Palm – East Carolina vs. BYU
Boca Raton Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Middle Tennessee vs. Bowling Green
  • Brett McMurphy – UAB vs. Toledo
  • Jerry Palm – Louisiana Tech vs. Central Michigan
San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – San Diego State vs. Navy
  • Brett McMurphy – San Diego State vs. Navy
  • Jerry Palm – Colorado State vs. Navy
Popeyes Bahamas Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Marshall vs. Northern Illinois
  • Brett McMurphy- Louisiana Tech vs. Western Michigan
  • Jerry Palm – Middle Tennessee vs. Western Michigan
Hawaii Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Oregon State vs. Colorado State
  • Brett McMurphy – Middle Tennessee vs. Air Force
  • Jerry Palm – Nevada vs. UAB
Heart of Dallas Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Rutgers vs. Rice
  • Brett McMurphy – Maryland vs. Marshall
  • Jerry Palm – Rutgers vs. Rice
Quick Lane Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Virginia Tech vs. Maryland
  • Brett McMurphy – North Carolina State vs. Rutgers
  • Jerry Palm – North Carolina State vs. Temple
BITCOIN St. Petersburg Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – UCF vs. Virginia
  • Brett McMurphy – Memphis vs. North Carolina
  • Jerry Palm – UCF vs. Bowling Green
Military Bowl Presented By Northrop Grumman

  • Mark Schlabach – Temple vs. Boston College
  • Brett McMurphy – Temple vs. Boston College
  • Jerry Palm – Boston College vs. Cincinnati
Hyundai Sun Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Louisville vs. Washington
  • Brett McMurphy – Pitt vs. USC
  • Jerry Palm – Louisville vs. Utah
Duck Commander Independence Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Pitt vs. Louisiana Tech
  • Brett McMurphy – Virginia Tech vs. UTEP
  • Jerry Palm – North Carolina vs. California
New Era Pinstripe Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Miami (FL) vs. Iowa
  • Brett McMurphy – Miami (FL) vs. Penn State
  • Jerry Palm – Georgia Tech vs. Iowa
National University Holiday Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Minnesota vs. Utah
  • Brett McMurphy – Nebraska vs. Utah
  • Jerry Palm – Ohio State vs. UCLA
Russell Athletic Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Duke vs. Oklahoma
  • Brett McMurphy – Duke vs. West Virginia
  • Jerry Palm – Duke vs. Baylor
AutoZone Liberty Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Oklahoma State vs. Missouri
  • Brett McMurphy – Oklahoma State vs. Tennessee
  • Jerry Palm – West Virginia vs. Tennessee
AdvoCare V100 Texas Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – West Virginia vs. Texas A&M
  • Brett McMurphy – Oklahoma vs. Texas A&M
  • Jerry Palm – Kansas State vs. Florida
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Kentucky vs. North Carolina
  • Brett McMurphy – Florida vs. Iowa
  • Jerry Palm – Missouri vs. Miami (FL)
Belk Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Georgia Tech vs. South Carolina
  • Brett McMurphy – Georgia Tech vs. South Carolina
  • Jerry Palm – Notre Dame vs. South Carolina
San Francisco Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Penn State vs. Stanford
  • Brett McMurphy – Minnesota vs. Arizona State
  • Jerry Palm – Wisconsin vs. USC
Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Georgia vs. East Carolina
  • Brett McMurphy – Alabama vs. East Carolina
  • Jerry Palm – Ole Miss vs. Marshall
Fiesta Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Arizona vs. Kansas State
  • Brett McMurphy – Kansas State vs. Michigan State
  • Jerry Palm – Arizona State vs. Nebraska
Capital One Orange Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Clemson vs. Notre Dame
  • Brett McMurphy – Clemson vs. Auburn
  • Jerry Palm – Clemson vs. Auburn
Outback Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Nebraska vs. LSU
  • Brett McMurphy – Wisconsin vs. Missouri
  • Jerry Palm – Penn State vs. Texas A&M
Cotton Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – TCU vs. Michigan State
  • Brett McMurphy – Ole Miss vs. TCU
  • Jerry Palm – Mississippi State vs. Michigan State
Citrus Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Ohio State vs. Ole Miss
  • Brett McMurphy – Ohio State vs. Georgia
  • Jerry Palm – Maryland vs. Georgia
Rose Bowl Game Presented By Northwestern Mutual

  • Mark Schlabach – Mississippi State vs. Oregon
  • Brett McMurphy – Florida State vs. Oregon
  • Jerry Palm – Alabama vs. Oregon
Allstate Sugar Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Florida State vs. Alabama
  • Brett McMurphy – Mississippi State vs. Notre Dame
  • Jerry Palm – Florida State vs. TCU
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Houston vs. California
  • Brett McMurphy – Houston vs. Northwestern
  • Jerry Palm – Houston vs. Ohio
TaxSlayer Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Auburn vs. Wisconsin
  • Brett McMurphy – LSU vs. Louisville
  • Jerry Palm – LSU vs. Minnesota
Valero Alamo Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Baylor vs. Arizona State
  • Brett McMurphy – Baylor vs. Arizona
  • Jerry Palm – Oklahoma vs. Arizona
Cactus Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Northwestern vs. USC
  • Brett McMurphy – Boise State vs. Stanford
  • Jerry Palm – Oklahoma State vs. Washington
Birmingham Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Memphis vs. UAB
  • Brett McMurphy – UCF vs. Washington
  • Jerry Palm – Memphis vs. South Alabama
GoDaddy Bowl

  • Mark Schlabach – Toledo vs. Arkansas State
  • Brett McMurphy – Northern Illinois vs. South Alabama
  • Jerry Palm – Northern Illinois vs. Louisiana-Lafayette

Analysis

  • Florida State and Oregon are the only two teams that all three experts believe will be in the College Football Playoff. Other teams they have making an appearance include Alabama, Mississippi State, Notre Dame and TCU.
  • Even after East Carolina lost Saturday, two of the experts still have the Pirates listed as the top team from a Group of 5 conference, and receiving a bowl bid to the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl.
  • We are intrigued by the Mark Schlabach’s pick of Northwestern vs. USC in the Cactus Bowl.   There are several things that would have to occur for those to be the teams selected, particularly on the Northwestern side. But we think they could, and we had been considering predicting a Northwestern vs. Stanford match-up in this game.

Our Crazy Bowl Projection –

First, here are our predictions that we’ve made so far this year how they are faring.

West Virginia vs. LSU in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl (October 13) – Would be a great game, and it could happen.

South Carolina vs. Penn State in the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl (October 20)– The Gamecocks lost in overtime, the Nittany Lions in the final minute.   This game could also be played in Nashville!

Duke vs. Notre Dame in the Capital One Orange Bowl (October 27) – The Blue Devils continue to win, the Fighting Irish have a huge game Saturday.

Our bowl prediction for this week includes a team that is one of the best road draws in college football taking on another team with a lot of history that hasn’t been to a bowl for a few years.  Miami (FL) vs. Tennessee in the Belk Bowl – Both of these teams have been recent BCS National Champions, but both have had struggles on and off the field while seeking a return to the glory days. The Canes and the Volunteers have been playing better as the season has worn on, and we think this would be an outstanding game to watch or attend.   For this to happen, Tennessee needs to win two more, which would mean beating Vanderbilt and upsetting either Missouri or Kentucky. For the Canes to make it to Charlotte, they need to be good, and that means being competitive with but not upsetting Florida State, and beating Pitt or Virginia.

 

 

 

 

 

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